SE Palmeiras SP — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.2% |
| 12 | 76.9% | |
| X2 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.4% / 73.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SE Palmeiras SP approach this Brasileiro Serie A fixture as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the advantage should be treated with some caution. SC Internacional RS remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can keep the match compact and limit Palmeiras’ opportunities in the attacking areas.
The scoring outlook points towards a medium-scoring game rather than an open exchange. The assessment gives no clear preference on whether both teams will score, making that aspect finely balanced. A narrow Palmeiras victory fits the overall picture, with 1-0 and 2-0 among the plausible scorelines, while 1-1 also reflects the possibility of Internacional resisting effectively. The main signal favours the home side, but the match is not presented as a foregone conclusion.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.