Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — Atletico Mineiro MG: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
X1 33.1% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 28.7% Draw
X2 38.2% Away win Atletico Mineiro MG
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1271.3%
Both teams to score
Yes52.4%
Totals 2.5
Under53.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X61.8%
1271.3%
X266.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No52.4% / 47.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.1% / 8.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 72.8% / 27.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 46.4% / 53.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 24.9% / 75.1%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.3% / 88.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.4% / 95.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × Atletico Mineiro MG
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.9%
0:1 9.6%
0:2 6.9%
0:3 3.0%
0:4 1.0%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 8.7%
1:1 13.7%
1:2 8.4%
1:3 3.7%
1:4 1.2%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 5.8%
2:1 7.7%
2:2 5.1%
2:3 2.2%
2:4 0.7%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 2.4%
3:1 3.1%
3:2 2.1%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 0.9%
4:2 0.6%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.7%
0:19.6%
0:08.9%
1:08.7%
1:28.4%
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA and Atletico Mineiro MG meet in the Brasileiro Serie A with the available assessment pointing to a balanced contest. The confidence level is moderate, and neither side has a clearly defined advantage in the overall outlook. That suggests a match likely to be decided by small details rather than by a substantial difference in quality.

The scoring profile is viewed as medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate. A 1-1 draw is among the most plausible scorelines, although a narrow Atletico Mineiro MG win or a goalless draw also fits the forecast. Clube do Remo PA may look to make home advantage count, while Atletico Mineiro MG will aim to keep the game under control and find openings without overcommitting. Overall, the teams appear evenly matched, with a cautious and competitive encounter the most likely shape.

Other matches

→ Brasileiro Serie A

About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling