CA Huracan — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.7% |
| 12 | 66.2% | |
| X2 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.0% / 63.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Huracan have a slight but credible edge over Atletico Tucuman in this Primera LPF Clausura fixture. The available assessment points toward a cautious match, with the hosts better placed to control the contest but without a wide gap between the teams. That makes the market signal of 1X consistent with the overall outlook: Huracan should be competitive, while Atletico Tucuman remain capable of taking a point.
The expected pattern is low-scoring, with limited space for an open exchange and a clean sheet considered likely. The most plausible scorelines are 0-0, 1-0, and 1-1, all of which indicate a finely balanced game decided by small details. Huracan's home advantage gives them the clearer side of the argument, but the draw remains a substantial possibility if Atletico Tucuman defend compactly and limit chances.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.